My analysis of Phase 1 reopening

From a population density and total number of cases standpoint.  Sorry for the weird formatting, reposted from three comments on facebook.

From my point of view, no county with a freeway and greater than 4 people per square kilometer should be open yet. Marion County has over 100 people per square kilometer. Polk has 39.

You can go up to 20 people per sq km if you don't have a freeway. And the doctors in Deschutes County are rock stars: 91 cases, ZERO deaths.

I would have started with the counties that have had NO new cases in the last two weeks. 6 or fewer total cases, 0 deaths, no freeways to bring in new pathogens, every single one under 9 people per sq km.

Wheeler
Gilliam
Lake
Sherman
Wallowa
Grant
Harney
Baker
Crook
Union
Curry
Tillamook
Lincoln


I can see the point, however, of the next 14 having fewer new daily cases and no deaths in the last two weeks (many no deaths ever) but I do consider these at risk for imported cases and increasing numbers of cases. Doubt any will overrun hospital capacity though, and so on a more liberal open for business, these still kind of make sense:

Morrow
Hood River
Malheur
Columbia
Clatsop
Jefferson
Douglas
Coos
Klamath
Jackson
Deschutes
Wasco
Josephine
Umatilla
Lane


Finally, these 8 sadly have increased cases, occasional deaths, and populations above 39 people per sq km, plus are tourist destinations and have freeways. They're not ready yet, and maybe, can't be made safe. People over 60 should beware. Wear your masks visiting these count

Polk
Benton
Yamhill
Linn
Clackamas
Washington
Marion
Multnomah