On the mathematics of infection and the case for quarantine at this time
This is being written March 26, 2020: I was pondering what R2.5 meant. It really means 2.5 people will be infected for each confirmed case; but it also means an additional 2.5 people per case per week.In the 13 weeks since this was discovered. The results show the importance, at this time, of social distancing. Consider this: 82,000 people have recovered from this virus. In comparison only a handful have died. 82,000 carriers, who infected 2.5 people each, thus whether testing has confirmed or not, whether they 've developed symptoms or not, 205,000 people are now also carriers. Since it takes 10 days of being contagious before you get sick, you can assume those 205,000 infected 512,500 others, who went on to infect 1,281,250 others, who went on to infect 3,203,125 others who went on to infect 8,007,812 others who went on to infect 20,019,531 others who went on to infect 50,048,828 others who went on to infect 125,122,070 others who went on to infect 312,805,175, who went on to...